Polymarket
SC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 10-15% at 30%, ahead of Republican 5-10% at 24%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 10-15% 30%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $13K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Republican 10-15%30%
- Republican 5-10%24%
- Republican 20-25%16%▼ 1
- Republican 15-20%13%▼ 2
- Democrat Wins8%▼ 2
- Republican 30%+6%▲ 1
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:14 PM12:14 AM12:14 PM30% Republican 10-15%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 10-15%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
