Polymarket
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor VAT federal decree at 62%, ahead of War Material amendment at 54%. $518 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.
- Favorite
- VAT federal decree 62%
- 24 hours
- up 3 pts
- Traded today
- $518
- Traded in all
- $13K
- Closes
- November 29, 2026
Every outcome
- VAT federal decree62%▲ 3
- War Material amendment54%▲ 5
- Fireworks restriction initiative19%▲ 4
- Marriage taxation initiative13%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:39 AM6:39 PM6:39 AM62% VAT federal decree
The line follows the current favorite, VAT federal decree. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
