Kalshi

Texas's 4th District margin of victory

Texas's 4th District

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Fallon, 8+ pts at 82%, ahead of Fallon, 11+ pts at 72%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $736 in all.

Favorite
Fallon, 8+ pts 82%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$736
Closes
November 3, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Fallon, 8+ pts82%
  2. Fallon, 11+ pts72%
  3. Fallon, 14+ pts63%
  4. Fallon, 17+ pts54%
  5. Fallon, 20+ pts45%
  6. Fallon, 23+ pts36%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:53 AM9:53 PM9:53 AM82% Fallon, 8+ pts

The line follows the current favorite, Fallon, 8+ pts. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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