Polymarket
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Paxton 0-3% at 23%, ahead of Talarico 0-3% at 23%. $280 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.
- Favorite
- Paxton 0-3% 23%
- 24 hours
- down 0 pts
- Traded today
- $280
- Traded in all
- $11K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Paxton 0-3%23%▼ 0
- Talarico 0-3%23%▼ 1
- Talarico 3-6%21%
- Talarico 9-12%14%▲ 6
- Talarico 6-9%10%
- Paxton 3-6%7%▼ 0
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:15 AM6:15 PM6:15 AM23% Paxton 0-3%
The line follows the current favorite, Paxton 0-3%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
