Kalshi
Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?
In 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Fort Bend at 98%, ahead of Tarrant at 93%. $1K traded in the last 24 hours, $19K in all.
- Favorite
- Fort Bend 98%
- 24 hours
- down 2 pts
- Traded today
- $1K
- Traded in all
- $19K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- Fort Bend98%▼ 2
- Tarrant93%▼ 2
- Collin71%▼ 9
- Denton65%▲ 3
- Bell39%▲ 4
- Brazoria33%▲ 9
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:13 PM12:13 AM12:13 PM98% Fort Bend
The line follows the current favorite, Fort Bend. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.