Kalshi

Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?

In 2026

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Fort Bend at 98%, ahead of Tarrant at 93%. $1K traded in the last 24 hours, $19K in all.

Favorite
Fort Bend 98%
24 hours
down 2 pts
Traded today
$1K
Traded in all
$19K
Closes
November 3, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 7)

  1. Fort Bend98%▼ 2
  2. Tarrant93%▼ 2
  3. Collin71%▼ 9
  4. Denton65%▲ 3
  5. Bell39%▲ 4
  6. Brazoria33%▲ 9

1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%12:13 PM12:13 AM12:13 PM98% Fort Bend

The line follows the current favorite, Fort Bend. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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