Polymarket
TN-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 45-50% at 27%, ahead of Republican 50-55% at 24%. $180 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 45-50% 27%
- 24 hours
- down 4 pts
- Traded today
- $180
- Traded in all
- $14K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 45-50%27%▼ 4
- Republican 50-55%24%
- Republican 40-45%23%▲ 1
- Republican 55-60%10%▲ 1
- Republican 60%+8%▲ 3
- Republican 35-40%7%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:48 AM2:48 PM2:48 AM27% Republican 45-50%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 45-50%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
