Polymarket

TN-03 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 25-30% at 28%, ahead of Republican 20-25% at 24%. $798 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.

Favorite
Republican 25-30% 28%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$798
Traded in all
$12K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 25-30%28%
  2. Republican 20-25%24%
  3. Republican 30-35%18%▼ 1
  4. Republican 35-40%11%▼ 2
  5. Republican 15-20%10%▼ 7
  6. Republican 40-45%5%▲ 2

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:34 AM5:34 PM5:34 AM28% Republican 25-30%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 25-30%. One reading an hour.

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