Polymarket
TN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 20-25% at 38%, ahead of Republican 25-30% at 37%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $864 in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 20-25% 38%
- 24 hours
- down 0 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $864
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Republican 20-25%38%▼ 0
- Republican 25-30%37%▼ 1
- Republican 15-20%37%
- Republican 30-35%37%
- Republican 5-10%37%
- Democrat Wins37%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:46 AM3:46 PM3:46 AM38% Republican 20-25%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 20-25%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
