Polymarket
Tongatapu 2 By-Election Winner
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Lei Paasi at 26%, ahead of Alvin Lafu Sika at 26%. $61 traded in the last 24 hours, $5K in all.
- Favorite
- Lei Paasi 26%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $61
- Traded in all
- $5K
- Closes
- October 8, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Lei Paasi26%
- Alvin Lafu Sika26%▲ 3
- 'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila19%
- Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki16%▲ 4
- Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi16%▲ 1
- Sione Harvard Tupouniua14%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:57 AM5:57 PM5:57 AM26% Lei Paasi
The line follows the current favorite, Lei Paasi. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
