Kalshi
Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win?
TX, AK, IA, OH
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Democratic sweep at 28%, ahead of Republican sweep at 18%. $938 traded in the last 24 hours, $42K in all.
- Favorite
- Democratic sweep 28%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $938
- Traded in all
- $42K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 16)
- Democratic sweep28%
- Republican sweep18%▲ 11
- Texas, Alaska, Ohio17%
- Texas, Alaska11%▼ 2
- Ohio5%
- Alaska, Ohio5%
10 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:03 AM9:03 PM9:03 AM28% Democratic sweep
The line follows the current favorite, Democratic sweep. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More more politics markets
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 31 3%
- Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy Jackson 45%
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?230-233 18%
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)Above 150 96%
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52 35%
- Michigan Senate winner? (Person)Abdul El-Sayed 73%
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?Christopher Luxon 46%
- Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 9, 2026?James Talarico 85%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.