Kalshi

Turkish presidential election winner?

Next presidential election

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Recep Tayyip Erdoğan at 53%, ahead of Ekrem İmamoğlu at 12%. $6 traded in the last 24 hours, $17K in all.

Favorite
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 53%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$6
Traded in all
$17K
Closes
May 7, 2030

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Recep Tayyip Erdoğan53%
  2. Ekrem İmamoğlu12%▼ 5
  3. Ahmet Davutoğlu8%
  4. Mansur Yavaş7%
  5. Ali Babacan4%
  6. Sinan Oğan3%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%7:07 AM7:07 PM7:07 AM53% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

The line follows the current favorite, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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