Polymarket

TX-01 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 40-45% at 29%, ahead of Republican 35-40% at 27%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.

Favorite
Republican 40-45% 29%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$9K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 40-45%29%
  2. Republican 35-40%27%
  3. Republican 30-35%14%▲ 1
  4. Republican 0-20%13%▲ 9
  5. Republican 60%+12%▲ 1
  6. Republican 45-50%11%▲ 3

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:32 AM5:32 PM5:32 AM29% Republican 40-45%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 40-45%. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

See this market on Polymarket →

More other elections markets

Every other elections market →

Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works