Polymarket

TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 10-15% at 37%, ahead of Republican 5-10% at 27%. $273 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.

Favorite
Republican 10-15% 37%
24 hours
down 1 pts
Traded today
$273
Traded in all
$14K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Republican 10-15%37%▼ 1
  2. Republican 5-10%27%▲ 2
  3. Republican 35%+18%▲ 10
  4. Republican 15-20%16%▼ 4
  5. Republican 0-5%13%▲ 9
  6. Republican 25-30%12%▲ 6

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:18 AM6:18 PM6:18 AM37% Republican 10-15%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 10-15%. One reading an hour.

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