Polymarket
TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 10-15% at 31%, ahead of Republican 15-20% at 26%. $248 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 10-15% 31%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $248
- Traded in all
- $11K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Republican 10-15%31%▲ 2
- Republican 15-20%26%▼ 4
- Republican 20-25%19%▲ 1
- Republican 0-5%16%▲ 3
- Republican 25-30%15%▲ 1
- Republican 5-10%11%▼ 2
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:41 AM10:41 PM10:41 AM31% Republican 10-15%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 10-15%. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More other elections markets
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya Raman 62%
- California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra 97%
- Lima Mayoral Election WinnerRafael López Aliaga 94%
- Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova 90%
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 66%
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%
- Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman 61%
- Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-an 70%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
