Polymarket

TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 15-20% at 29%, ahead of Republican 10-15% at 19%. $60 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.

Favorite
Republican 15-20% 29%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$60
Traded in all
$7K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Republican 15-20%29%
  2. Republican 10-15%19%▼ 4
  3. Republican 20-25%16%▲ 1
  4. Republican 5-10%14%
  5. Democrat Wins13%▲ 4
  6. Republican 0-5%6%▼ 3

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%4:04 PM4:04 AM4:04 PM29% Republican 15-20%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 15-20%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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