Polymarket

TX-07 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 40-45% at 33%, ahead of Democrat 35-40% at 29%. $142 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 40-45% 33%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$142
Traded in all
$10K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 40-45%33%
  2. Democrat 35-40%29%
  3. Democrat 45-50%15%
  4. Democrat 30-35%10%▼ 2
  5. Democrat 25-30%8%
  6. Democrat 50%+6%▼ 2

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%4:39 AM4:39 PM4:39 AM33% Democrat 40-45%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 40-45%. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

See this market on Polymarket →

More other elections markets

Every other elections market →

Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works