Polymarket

TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 9-12% at 21%, ahead of Republican 12-15% at 21%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.

Favorite
Republican 9-12% 21%
24 hours
up 3 pts
Traded today
$20
Traded in all
$6K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 9-12%21%▲ 3
  2. Republican 12-15%21%
  3. Republican 15-18%19%
  4. Republican 6-9%14%▼ 1
  5. Republican 0-3%5%
  6. Republican 3-6%5%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%12:17 PM12:17 AM12:17 PM21% Republican 9-12%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 9-12%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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