Polymarket
TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 9-12% at 21%, ahead of Republican 12-15% at 21%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 9-12% 21%
- 24 hours
- up 3 pts
- Traded today
- $20
- Traded in all
- $6K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 9-12%21%▲ 3
- Republican 12-15%21%
- Republican 15-18%19%
- Republican 6-9%14%▼ 1
- Republican 0-3%5%
- Republican 3-6%5%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:17 PM12:17 AM12:17 PM21% Republican 9-12%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 9-12%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.