Polymarket

TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 0-3% at 21%, ahead of Democrat 6-9% at 21%. $181 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 0-3% 21%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$181
Traded in all
$10K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 0-3%21%▲ 1
  2. Democrat 6-9%21%
  3. Democrat 3-6%19%
  4. Republican 0-3%18%▲ 1
  5. Republican 3-6%11%
  6. Democrat 9-12%9%▲ 1

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:20 AM6:20 PM6:20 AM21% Democrat 0-3%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 0-3%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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