Polymarket
TX-15 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 0-3% at 21%, ahead of Democrat 6-9% at 21%. $181 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 0-3% 21%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $181
- Traded in all
- $10K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 0-3%21%▲ 1
- Democrat 6-9%21%
- Democrat 3-6%19%
- Republican 0-3%18%▲ 1
- Republican 3-6%11%
- Democrat 9-12%9%▲ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:20 AM6:20 PM6:20 AM21% Democrat 0-3%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 0-3%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.