Polymarket

TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 60-65% at 34%, ahead of Democrat 55-60% at 23%. $81 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 60-65% 34%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$81
Traded in all
$6K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 60-65%34%
  2. Democrat 55-60%23%▲ 1
  3. Democrat 50-55%18%▲ 1
  4. Democrat 65-70%15%
  5. Democrat 70-75%10%▲ 1
  6. Democrat 45-50%9%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:48 AM10:48 PM10:48 AM34% Democrat 60-65%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 60-65%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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