Polymarket

TX-19 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 35-40% at 32%, ahead of Republican 40-45% at 25%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.

Favorite
Republican 35-40% 32%
24 hours
up 11 pts
Traded today
$20
Traded in all
$11K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 35-40%32%▲ 11
  2. Republican 40-45%25%▲ 1
  3. Republican 45-50%19%▲ 2
  4. Republican 30-35%17%▲ 2
  5. Republican 50-55%7%
  6. Republican 25-30%5%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:05 AM9:05 PM9:05 AM32% Republican 35-40%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 35-40%. One reading an hour.

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