Polymarket

TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 45-50% at 29%, ahead of Democrat 40-45% at 29%. $60 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 45-50% 29%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$60
Traded in all
$10K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 45-50%29%
  2. Democrat 40-45%29%▼ 4
  3. Democrat 35-40%18%
  4. Democrat 50-55%6%
  5. Democrat 30-35%5%
  6. Democrat 55%+4%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%11:35 AM11:35 PM11:35 AM29% Democrat 45-50%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 45-50%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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