Polymarket

TX-24 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 9-12% at 20%, ahead of Republican 21%+ at 14%. $69 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.

Favorite
Republican 9-12% 20%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$69
Traded in all
$12K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 9-12%20%
  2. Republican 21%+14%▼ 4
  3. Republican 6-9%11%▲ 2
  4. Republican 12-15%8%▼ 4
  5. Republican 3-6%7%▼ 0
  6. Republican 0-3%6%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%4:39 AM4:39 PM4:39 AM20% Republican 9-12%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 9-12%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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