Polymarket
TX-29 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 40-45% at 22%, ahead of Democrat 50-55% at 19%. $320 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 40-45% 22%
- 24 hours
- down 4 pts
- Traded today
- $320
- Traded in all
- $6K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 40-45%22%▼ 4
- Democrat 50-55%19%▲ 1
- Democrat 45-50%19%▲ 1
- Democrat 35-40%17%▼ 4
- Democrat 55-60%7%
- Democrat 60%+6%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:39 AM4:39 PM4:39 AM22% Democrat 40-45%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 40-45%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
