Polymarket

TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 55-60% at 28%, ahead of Democrat 60-65% at 21%. $136 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 55-60% 28%
24 hours
up 1 pts
Traded today
$136
Traded in all
$9K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 55-60%28%▲ 1
  2. Democrat 60-65%21%
  3. Democrat 50-55%19%▲ 1
  4. Republican Wins18%▲ 17
  5. Democrat 45-50%15%
  6. Democrat 70%+10%▼ 1

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:18 AM6:18 PM6:18 AM28% Democrat 55-60%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 55-60%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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