Polymarket

TX-31 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 10-15% at 28%, ahead of Republican 15-20% at 23%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.

Favorite
Republican 10-15% 28%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$12K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Republican 10-15%28%
  2. Republican 15-20%23%▼ 1
  3. Republican 5-10%19%▼ 0
  4. Republican 20-25%12%▲ 1
  5. Republican 25-30%6%
  6. Republican 30%+4%

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:18 AM6:18 PM6:18 AM28% Republican 10-15%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 10-15%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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