Polymarket

UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 25-30% at 22%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 21%. $180 traded in the last 24 hours, $3K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 25-30% 22%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$180
Traded in all
$3K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Democrat 25-30%22%
  2. Democrat 30-35%21%▲ 1
  3. Democrat 35-40%19%
  4. Democrat 20-25%17%▲ 9
  5. Democrat 15-20%17%▲ 3
  6. Democrat 40%+8%

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:25 AM9:25 PM9:25 AM22% Democrat 25-30%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 25-30%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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