Polymarket
UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 25-30% at 22%, ahead of Democrat 30-35% at 21%. $180 traded in the last 24 hours, $3K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 25-30% 22%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $180
- Traded in all
- $3K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Democrat 25-30%22%
- Democrat 30-35%21%▲ 1
- Democrat 35-40%19%
- Democrat 20-25%17%▲ 9
- Democrat 15-20%17%▲ 3
- Democrat 40%+8%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:25 AM9:25 PM9:25 AM22% Democrat 25-30%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 25-30%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.