Polymarket

UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 25-30% at 24%, ahead of Republican 20-25% at 22%. $80 traded in the last 24 hours, $21K in all.

Favorite
Republican 25-30% 24%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$80
Traded in all
$21K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Republican 25-30%24%
  2. Republican 20-25%22%▼ 0
  3. Republican 40-45%13%▲ 2
  4. Republican 30-35%13%▲ 1
  5. Republican 35-40%11%▼ 1
  6. Republican 10-20%6%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:44 AM3:44 PM3:44 AM24% Republican 25-30%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 25-30%. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

See this market on Polymarket →

More other elections markets

Every other elections market →

Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works