Polymarket
UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 20-25% at 27%, ahead of Republican 15-20% at 24%. $350 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.
- Favorite
- Republican 20-25% 27%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $350
- Traded in all
- $14K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Republican 20-25%27%
- Republican 15-20%24%▼ 0
- Republican 30-35%15%▲ 1
- Republican 25-30%13%▲ 3
- Democrat Wins12%▲ 5
- Republican 0-5%10%▲ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:48 AM2:48 PM2:48 AM27% Republican 20-25%
The line follows the current favorite, Republican 20-25%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
