Polymarket
VA-01 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 3-6% at 21%, ahead of Democrat 0-3% at 20%. $64 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 3-6% 21%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $64
- Traded in all
- $13K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 3-6%21%
- Democrat 0-3%20%
- Republican 3-6%13%▲ 3
- Republican 9-12%12%▼ 1
- Democrat 6-9%10%▼ 1
- Democrat 9-12%10%▲ 2
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:50 AM7:50 PM7:50 AM21% Democrat 3-6%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 3-6%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
