Polymarket
VA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 12-15% at 19%, ahead of Democrat 3-6% at 13%. $16 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 12-15% 19%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $16
- Traded in all
- $11K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 12-15%19%
- Democrat 3-6%13%
- Democrat 6-9%13%▼ 4
- Democrat 15-18%12%▲ 4
- Democrat 9-12%11%▼ 0
- Democrat 0-3%10%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:45 AM4:45 PM4:45 AM19% Democrat 12-15%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 12-15%. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More other elections markets
- California Governor winner? (Person)Xavier Becerra 96%
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?Nithya Raman 60%
- Lima Mayoral Election WinnerRafael López Aliaga 97%
- Bulgaria Presidential ElectionIliana Iotova 89%
- Serbia Parliamentary Election WinnerAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 56%
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)Democrats, 8 to 10% 28%
- Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionNithya Raman 59%
- Taipei mayoral election winner?Chiang Wan-an 71%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
