Polymarket
VA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 45%+ at 40%, ahead of Democrat 40-45% at 33%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 45%+ 40%
- 24 hours
- down 0 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $6K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 45%+40%▼ 0
- Democrat 40-45%33%
- Democrat 35-40%19%▲ 1
- Democrat 30-35%7%▲ 2
- Republican Wins6%▼ 4
- Democrat 5-15%3%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:24 AM9:24 PM9:24 AM40% Democrat 45%+
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 45%+. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
