Polymarket

VA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 0-5% at 39%, ahead of Republican 10-15% at 38%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $3K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 0-5% 39%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$3K
Closes
November 3, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Democrat 0-5%39%
  2. Republican 10-15%38%▲ 1
  3. Republican 0-5%38%
  4. Republican 5-10%37%
  5. Democrat 5%+37%
  6. Republican 20-25%36%▲ 5

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%10:35 AM10:35 PM10:35 AM39% Democrat 0-5%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 0-5%. One reading an hour.

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