Polymarket
Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 21%+ at 49%, ahead of Democrat 18-21% at 20%. $1K traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 21%+ 49%
- 24 hours
- up 13 pts
- Traded today
- $1K
- Traded in all
- $10K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Democrat 21%+49%▲ 13
- Democrat 18-21%20%▲ 1
- Democrat 15-18%13%▲ 2
- Democrat 12-15%10%▲ 4
- Democrat 9-12%4%
- Democrat 6-9%1%▼ 1
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:25 AM5:25 PM5:25 AM49% Democrat 21%+
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 21%+. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
