Polymarket

VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 40-45% at 28%, ahead of Democrat 45-50% at 21%. $38 traded in the last 24 hours, $14K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 40-45% 28%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$38
Traded in all
$14K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 10)

  1. Democrat 40-45%28%
  2. Democrat 45-50%21%▼ 0
  3. Democrat 30-35%19%▲ 2
  4. Democrat 35-40%14%
  5. Democrat 50-55%8%
  6. Democrat 25-30%1%

4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:05 AM6:05 PM6:05 AM28% Democrat 40-45%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 40-45%. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

See this market on Polymarket →

More other elections markets

Every other elections market →

Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works