Polymarket
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 4.25% at 47%, ahead of 4.0% at 20%. $779 traded in the last 24 hours, $6.9M in all.
- Favorite
- 4.25% 47%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $779
- Traded in all
- $6.9M
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 15)
- 4.25%47%▼ 1
- 4.0%20%▼ 8
- ≥ 4.5%12%▲ 1
- 3.5%2%
- 3.75%1%
- 2.5%<1%
9 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:44 AM3:44 PM3:44 AM47% 4.25%
The line follows the current favorite, 4.25%. One reading an hour.
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- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
