Kalshi
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
Before Jan 20, 2029
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor World Trade Organization at 28%, ahead of World Bank Group at 20%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $22K in all.
- Favorite
- World Trade Organization 28%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $22K
- Closes
- January 20, 2029
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- World Trade Organization28%
- World Bank Group20%
- United Nations18%
- Inter-American Development Bank18%
- International Monetary Fund17%
- OECD16%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:41 AM6:41 PM6:41 AM28% World Trade Organization
The line follows the current favorite, World Trade Organization. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 35%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 22%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.