Polymarket
What will Trump post this week? (October 5 - October 11)
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor China at 90%, ahead of Deranged / Derangement at 83%. $403 traded in the last 24 hours, $840 in all.
- Favorite
- China 90%
- 24 hours
- up 11 pts
- Traded today
- $403
- Traded in all
- $840
- Closes
- October 11, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- China90%▲ 11
- Deranged / Derangement83%▼ 0
- Rigged77%▲ 28
- Scam74%▲ 16
- Russia72%▼ 0
- President Xi54%▲ 12
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:39 AM2:39 PM2:39 AM90% China
The line follows the current favorite, China. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
