Polymarket
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Russia at 35%, ahead of Scam at 35%. $1K traded in the last 24 hours, $5K in all.
- Favorite
- Russia 35%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $1K
- Traded in all
- $5K
- Closes
- October 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Russia35%
- Scam35%▼ 1
- Vance35%▼ 1
- Fool35%▼ 1
- Uranium35%▲ 30
- Terrorism34%▼ 15
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:38 AM2:38 PM2:38 AM35% Russia
The line follows the current favorite, Russia. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
