Polymarket
What will Trump say in October?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor American Dream at 81%, ahead of Slob at 77%. $46 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.
- Favorite
- American Dream 81%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $46
- Traded in all
- $9K
- Closes
- October 31, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- American Dream81%▼ 1
- Slob77%
- Newborn73%▲ 22
- Caravan73%▲ 1
- Illness72%▲ 4
- Six Seven64%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%11:45 AM11:45 PM11:45 AM81% American Dream
The line follows the current favorite, American Dream. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 78%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.5% 93%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?2%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 74%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/5-10/11) 7 52%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
