Kalshi
Which ballot measures will pass in California?
In 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Proposition 2 at 86%, ahead of Proposition 3 at 79%. $368 traded in the last 24 hours, $24K in all.
- Favorite
- Proposition 2 86%
- 24 hours
- up 5 pts
- Traded today
- $368
- Traded in all
- $24K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 13)
- Proposition 286%▲ 5
- Proposition 379%
- Proposition 3777%
- Proposition 175%▼ 10
- Proposition 3857%
- Proposition 4256%
7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%8:14 AM8:14 PM8:14 AM86% Proposition 2
The line follows the current favorite, Proposition 2. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
