Polymarket
Which bills will become law in 2026?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Export-control chip security at 32%, ahead of AI-chip export licensing at 29%. $212 traded in the last 24 hours, $172K in all.
- Favorite
- Export-control chip security 32%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $212
- Traded in all
- $172K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 14)
- Export-control chip security32%▲ 2
- AI-chip export licensing29%▲ 11
- Credit-card routing competition25%▲ 17
- Film/TV production expensing23%
- FISA Section 702 reauthorization14%
- NO FAKES Act13%
8 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:27 AM7:27 PM7:27 AM32% Export-control chip security
The line follows the current favorite, Export-control chip security. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
