Polymarket
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor National + ACT + NZF at 45%, ahead of Labour + Green at 25%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $57K in all.
- Favorite
- National + ACT + NZF 45%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $57K
- Closes
- November 8, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 18)
- National + ACT + NZF45%▼ 1
- Labour + Green25%▼ 1
- Labour + Green + Maori17%
- Other7%▲ 1
- Labour + Green + NZF1%
- Labour + Maori1%
12 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:47 AM9:47 PM9:47 AM45% National + ACT + NZF
The line follows the current favorite, National + ACT + NZF. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
