Kalshi
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?
Before 2027
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor China at 11%, ahead of India at 11%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.
- Favorite
- China 11%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $13K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- China11%
- India11%
- United Kingdom10%
- Indonesia10%
- Argentina9%
- European Union8%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:19 AM6:19 PM6:19 AM11% China
The line follows the current favorite, China. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 33%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 22%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
