Polymarket
Which Dems will underperform Kamala?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Tina Kotek: OR-Gov at 85%, ahead of Troy Jackson: ME-Sen at 75%. $440 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.
- Favorite
- Tina Kotek: OR-Gov 85%
- 24 hours
- down 9 pts
- Traded today
- $440
- Traded in all
- $8K
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Tina Kotek: OR-Gov85%▼ 9
- Troy Jackson: ME-Sen75%▼ 4
- Peggy Flanagan: MN-Sen49%▲ 2
- Kathy Hochul: NY-Gov49%
- Keisha Lance Bottoms: GA-Gov41%▲ 11
- Angie Nixon: FL-Sen30%▲ 5
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:14 AM5:14 PM5:14 AM85% Tina Kotek: OR-Gov
The line follows the current favorite, Tina Kotek: OR-Gov. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
