Kalshi
Which G7 leader will leave office next?
G7 Leaders
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Emmanuel Macron at 68%, ahead of Friedrich Merz at 24%. $325 traded in the last 24 hours, $25K in all.
- Favorite
- Emmanuel Macron 68%
- 24 hours
- down 2 pts
- Traded today
- $325
- Traded in all
- $25K
- Closes
- January 1, 2045
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- Emmanuel Macron68%▼ 2
- Friedrich Merz24%
- Donald Trump6%▲ 5
- Giorgia Meloni3%
- Andy Burnham3%
- Mark Carney2%
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:12 AM9:12 PM9:12 AM68% Emmanuel Macron
The line follows the current favorite, Emmanuel Macron. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
