Kalshi
Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
In 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor AHV VAT financing at 65%, ahead of War Materiel Act amendment at 48%. $215 traded in the last 24 hours, $703 in all.
- Favorite
- AHV VAT financing 65%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $215
- Traded in all
- $703
- Closes
- November 29, 2027
Every outcome
- AHV VAT financing65%
- War Materiel Act amendment48%▲ 9
- Fireworks Initiative22%
- Fair taxes for married couples15%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:17 AM6:17 PM6:17 AM65% AHV VAT financing
The line follows the current favorite, AHV VAT financing. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
