Polymarket
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) at 81%, ahead of Green Party (MP) at 73%. $2K traded in the last 24 hours, $225K in all.
- Favorite
- Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) 81%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $2K
- Traded in all
- $225K
- Closes
- September 14, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)81%
- Green Party (MP)73%
- Centre Party (C)43%▼ 3
- Left Party (V)23%▲ 4
- Christian Democrats (KD)22%▼ 1
- Liberals (L)17%▼ 1
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:33 AM4:33 PM4:33 AM81% Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
The line follows the current favorite, Swedish Social Democratic Party (S). One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.