Polymarket
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Te Pāti Māori at 67%, ahead of ACT New Zealand at 66%. $114 traded in the last 24 hours, $3K in all.
- Favorite
- Te Pāti Māori 67%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $114
- Traded in all
- $3K
- Closes
- November 8, 2026
Every outcome
- Te Pāti Māori67%▼ 1
- ACT New Zealand66%▼ 1
- New Zealand First Party65%▼ 2
- Green Party62%▲ 19
- National Party50%▼ 19
- Labour Party44%▼ 0
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:09 AM9:09 PM9:09 AM67% Te Pāti Māori
The line follows the current favorite, Te Pāti Māori. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
