Kalshi
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
in 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Critical minerals at 27%, ahead of Wind turbines at 23%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $30K in all.
- Favorite
- Critical minerals 27%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $30K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome
- Critical minerals27%
- Wind turbines23%
- Foreign-made films22%
- Canadian aircraft19%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:56 AM5:56 PM5:56 AM27% Critical minerals
The line follows the current favorite, Critical minerals. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.