Polymarket
Which Senate races will be within 1%?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Ohio (Special) at 24%, ahead of Iowa at 20%. $300 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.
- Favorite
- Ohio (Special) 24%
- 24 hours
- up 12 pts
- Traded today
- $300
- Traded in all
- $13K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 17)
- Ohio (Special)24%▲ 12
- Iowa20%▲ 1
- Michigan18%▼ 10
- Texas17%
- Maine16%
- Kansas14%
11 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:33 AM3:33 PM3:33 AM24% Ohio (Special)
The line follows the current favorite, Ohio (Special). One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
